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actually estimate the amount of realised anthropogenic warming directly, then just say what it is. You can obtain a pdf from climate models, but Cook’s 97% consensus is not about models, It is a statement about the past, not the future. FWIW, it is not appropriate to abstract a pdf from the output of climate models either. AR4 recognized their climate models as “an ensemble of opportunity” didn’t explore parameter space and the full range of future climate consistent with climate physics. When one endorses a percentage or minimum percentage of warming that is due The hottest item psychedelic drug pattern rainbow all over printed air jordan 13 sneakers to aGHGs, then there are policy implications that flow from the ECS that is implied. One can’t say that attributing an unspecified amount of warming to aGHGs provides support for any particular policy. The right policy could be one appropriate for an ECS of 1 or 4 degC. There is no policy appropriate for both. YOU may wan’t to ASSUME some probability distribution encompassing both 1 and 4 degC and make a policy recommendation based on that pdf. Cook provides no information about such a pdf. When

 

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